{"id":6129,"date":"2016-05-27T08:53:30","date_gmt":"2016-05-27T03:23:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/13.201.39.237\/?p=6129"},"modified":"2026-07-17T22:01:52","modified_gmt":"2026-07-17T16:31:52","slug":"coronavirus-spanish-flu-ebola-have-in-common-terrible-timing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/13.207.105.184\/?p=6129","title":{"rendered":"What Do Coronavirus, Spanish Flu, and Ebola Have in Common? Terrible Timing"},"content":{"rendered":"\nE<\/span>very few years, humanity is treated to a glimpse of what hell on Earth might look like. While it might be <\/span>tempting<\/span><\/a> to think it will look like the latest <\/span>Transformers<\/span><\/i> film, the truth is that reality is starting to take a much more serious and concerning tone.\n\nThe last two decades have seen multiple epidemics, each prompting the human race to hit the panic button and rally to fight what is \u2014 quite literally \u2014 an unseen evil. As though unable to stop itself from delivering a crappy parting gift to us all, 2019 just threw the <\/span>Coronavirus<\/span><\/a> at us and walked away like <\/span>Vin Diesel<\/span><\/a> from an explosion.\n\nAs a result, much of the conversation in this fresh new decade has been split between discussing <\/span>Deepika Paudokone<\/span><\/a>\u2019s 2.2 lakh dress at the World Economic Forum, and the likely impact of the Coronavirus on all our lives.\n\nFor anyone living under a rock for the last couple of weeks, well done! You\u2019re less likely to have contracted the virus. Also, you should know that the Coronavirus, is actually a collective term for a bunch of viruses that cause respiratory <\/span>illnesses<\/span><\/a>. At the mild end, we see this virus pop up as common colds. At the extreme end, you end up with something like SARS, which killed about 774 people back in 2003. This current strain has been labelled \u201c2019-nCoV\u201d (catchy, I know), and considering its death toll at 106, is looking less <\/span>common-coldy<\/span><\/i> and a lot more <\/span>SARS-y.<\/i>\n\n\"Coronavirus\"\n
\n

Chinese children wear protective masks as they wait to board trains at Beijing Railway station before the annual Spring Festival on January 21, 2020 in Beijing, China. <\/p>\n

Kevin Frayer\/Getty Images<\/p>\n<\/figcaption>\n<\/figure>\n\nThe virus broke out in Wuhan, <\/span>China<\/span><\/a> and has since been causing an international kerfuffle. To China\u2019s credit, they do appear to have learnt from earlier epidemics and were quick to warn us after 10 people had died. Compared to SARS, which spread for four months before WHO recognised the seriousness of the situation, 2019-nCoV has gone from \u201cunknown disease\u201d to a full-fledged \u201coutbreak\u201d in less than two weeks. However, as far as timing goes, it could not have picked a worse moment to embark on this ambitious world tour.\u00a0\n\nThe disease\u2019s arrival is about as welcome as a sparkler in a kerosene factory. Across the world, economic pundits are foretelling the next big crash. And while our strong-willed, autonomously-functioning <\/span>Finance Minister<\/span><\/a> may vehemently oppose this line of argument, no one wants more headaches right now. With the government looking at a <\/span>two lakh crore shortfall<\/span><\/a> in tax collections, <\/span>Nirmala Sitharaman<\/span><\/a> is probably in no mood for more bad news.\n\nMuch of the anxiety over the world economic situation these past few years has rested on the US-China trade war. There seemed to be some respite when the US recently signed a deal that would see freer movement of goods between the two nations. Now, with 2019-nCoV, it\u2019s clear that any movement of goods or people would need to be thoroughly scrutinised.\u00a0\n\nThe outbreak also coincides with the Lunar New Year, a big holiday in which millions of Chinese journey into their hometowns to visit relatives. \u201cWith air, rail and road links in central China restricted as the government seeks to block the spread of the virus, hotels, restaurants and other tourism-related businesses are likely to suffer,\u201d the <\/span>NYT points out<\/span><\/a>.\n\n

With panic spreading across the globe, people everywhere, including India, are on the edge.<\/p><\/blockquote> \n\nWith panic spreading across the globe, people everywhere, including India, are on the edge. More than 400 people are under observation in <\/span>Kerala<\/span><\/a> and dozens are being monitored in Mumbai and Delhi in isolated wards for possible exposure to the virus. This caution will ensure that public places such as malls stay empty and theatres are avoided, even as our government hopes that a boost in consumer spending will give some much-needed CPR to our GDP. In other words, if 2019-nCoV begins to take the same ominous shape as previous epidemics, any upticks we expect in the world economy aren\u2019t likely any time soon. If anything, it is possible it will push us deep into an economic abyss that we have been stealthily avoiding since…\n\nSwine flu, which in August 2009 was spooking us all in much the same way young 2019-nCoV is today. H1N1\u2019s final death toll was in excess of 2,50,000. Not only was it a global tragedy, but the epidemic threw a large pig-skin encased curve-ball at the world economy that was just hobbling out of its worst crisis in over 80 years. While there is no way to accurately calculate the economic impact of the disease, estimates put it at <\/span>0.5 per cent to 1.5 per cent<\/span><\/a> of the GDP in affected countries. With several economies in recession after the 2008 financial crisis, H1N1 made the recovery that much more painful.\n\nThen about four years after swine flu was wrestled down from \u201cDisney princess\u201d to \u201cteenager with a mild drug problem\u201d, <\/span>Ebola<\/span><\/a> made its entrance. Again, the world rallied to stop the epidemic, which claimed 11,000 odd lives before it was shut down. While that number might seem small in comparison, its impact was no less heart-breaking.\n\n\"Coronavirus\"\n

\n

A patient is transferred by an ambulance to the Infectious Disease Centre of Princess Margaret Hospital on January 22, 2020 in Hong Kong, China. <\/p>\n

Anthony Kwan\/Getty Images<\/p>\n<\/figcaption>\n<\/figure>\n\nAfrica \u2014 where it struck worst \u2014 had been experiencing a sort of economic new dawn. The years leading up to the crisis were seen as a period of \u201cAfrica Rising\u201d, with nations like <\/span>South Africa<\/span><\/a>, Nigeria, and Kenya making steps to lift their economies. While some argue that the inability to control Ebola was itself an indication of the weakness of the region economically, many wonder whether this untimely epidemic cut short the beginning of an era of prosperity in the continent.\n\nWhat Ebola did to Africa, Spanish Flu did to India between 1918 and 1920. This virus (incidentally a swashbuckling country cousin of 2009\u2019s H1N1 swine-flu) claimed the lives of 14 million Indians. Plenty has been written about the impact of this epidemic, both economic and social. However, it is worth reiterating that it also came hot on the heels of a severe drought and famine. For a nation that needed every able-bodied being to help dig it out of economic catastrophe, losing 14 million people exacerbated the problem to levels possibly never seen since. The disease did act as a slight damper to the independence movement as well, although the British\u2019s indifference would act as a catalyst to spur the movement forward in the following years.\n\nEpidemics are always unwelcome but their timing makes it an even bigger threat. They tend to arrive when we\u2019re already reeling under other burdens. If they\u2019re going to make our lives miserable, would a little scheduling be too much to ask for?\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Epidemics like Coronavirus or Swine Flu are always unwelcome, but what makes them even more deadly is their timing. As the world faces the possibility of an economic slowdown, an outbreak of this scale is the last thing we need.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":309,"featured_media":6133,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10108],"tags":[10109,200,10110,1281,10111,9163,10112,10113,10114,5682,9282,3102,10115,8756,10116],"class_list":["post-6129","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coronavirus","tag-bird-flu","tag-china","tag-coronavirus","tag-deepika-padukone","tag-ebola","tag-economic-slowdown","tag-epidemic","tag-h1n1","tag-kenya","tag-nigeria","tag-nirmala-sitharaman","tag-south-africa","tag-swine-flu","tag-vin-diesel","tag-wuhan"],"yoast_head":"\nWhat Do Coronavirus, Spanish Flu, and Ebola Have in Common? Terrible Timing<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Epidemics like Coronavirus or Swine Flu are always unwelcome, but what makes them even more deadly is their timing. As the world faces the possibility of an economic slowdown, an outbreak of this scale is the last thing we need.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"http:\/\/13.207.105.184\/?p=6129\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"What Do Coronavirus, Spanish Flu, and Ebola Have in Common? Terrible Timing\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Epidemics like Coronavirus or Swine Flu are always unwelcome, but what makes them even more deadly is their timing. As the world faces the possibility of an economic slowdown, an outbreak of this scale is the last thing we need.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"http:\/\/13.207.105.184\/?p=6129\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Arr\u00e9\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2016-05-27T03:23:30+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-07-17T16:31:52+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/13.207.105.184\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/1580202821.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1520\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"850\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Adhirath Sethi\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"What Do Coronavirus, Spanish Flu, and Ebola Have in Common? 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